On a recent sweaty night at Murtala Muhammed international airport in
Lagos, a Nigerian man strutted towards the boarding gates like somebody
who knows – or rather hopes – that he is being watched. He was pulling a
carry-on Louis Vuitton suitcase, with a smaller Louis Vuitton bag on
top. His shoes were from Louis Vuitton and so were his trousers, belt,
shirt and sunglasses. It was over-the-top, even by the standards of
Nigeria, where some of the elite love to flaunt the luxury brands
purchases in the boutiques in European capitals.
Until very
recently, flying abroad was the only way for them to buy luxury goods.
Now, things may be changing. In April, Ermenegildo Zegna opened a store
in Lagos, the first luxury clothing brand to do so. Its setting – on
Akin Adesola Street, a busy road that links the lagoon and ocean on
either side of Victoria Island, the city’s financial district – is not
glamorous. But Zegna, which had never had a store in sub-Saharan Africa,
is betting that customers more accustomed to shopping on Bond Street or
the Champs-elysees will not mind.
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Zegna is considering
opening a store in Angola, which, like Nigeria, has a small but
extremely wealthy elite thanks to its oil industry, and in Mozambique,
the site of large new gas finds. Africa “is going to be a territory
that’s very important for luxury”, even if the market is still at an
early stage, according to Gildo Zegna, chief executive. Describing the
company’s strategy in emerging markets, including Africa, Mr Zegna told
the FT last year that it was targeting “the top 1 per cent of the
population, or perhaps even less”.
Zegna’s African expansion may
initially seem startling – both Angola and Mozambique experienced
devastating wars not long ago – but the company is not alone. Breitling
now distributes its watches through wholesalers in at least a dozen
African countries, including Ghana. The trend is less surprising when
you look at Africa’s place in the global economy. Sub-Saharan African
economies are expanding faster than any other region, bar developing
Asia, with the IMF forecasting growth of 5.4 per cent in 2013 and 5.7
per cent in 2014. Though many African countries are growing from a very
low base – and income distribution is often very unequal – the number of
wealthy, status-conscious people is rising and will continue to do so
while commodity prices stay high.
For now, the only entrenched
market for luxury goods in sub-Saharan Africa is South Africa, which has
the continent’s largest economy and a largely urban population. A
recent report by the consultancy Bain noted that South Africa has 71,000
dollar millionaires, 60 per cent of the total number in sub-Saharan
Africa. That is more than Saudi Arabia or the United Arab Emirates and
not that far off the 95,000 millionaires in Russia. Bain estimated that
by 2020, 420,000 households in South Africa would have disposable income
of more than $100,000 and forecasts that the luxury goods market, worth
about $1bn a year, will grow by 20-30 per cent for the next five years.
In
South Africa’s favour is its large number of high-end shopping malls
that offer the sort of retail space attractive to international brands
such as Louis Vuitton, Burberry, Gucci and Fendi, all present in the
country. South Africa has its own luxury brands working mainly with
leather and jewellery.
In Lagos, the continent’s most populous
city, with more than 12m people, there only two small malls of
international standard – compared with 74 in Johannesburg – and even
these may not be of a high enough standard for the likes of Louis
Vuitton.
Francesco Trapani, head of LVMH’s jewellery and watches
division, said last year that Africa remained “a very, very small market
for us”. Hermes said that despite looking at South Africa, it had not
yet found any suitable opportunities to do business or open a shop on
the continent. Yet as Zegna’s foray into Lagos shows, the amount of
money sloshing around – and the appetite for conspicuous consumption –
means that some luxury goods companies no longer feel content simply to
wait for change.
According to Euromonitor, Nigeria was the second
fastest growing market in the world for champagne between 2006 and
2011, by which time it had became the 17th biggest consumer of bubbly in
the world, with 752,879 bottles drunk. Over the five years to 2016 the
trend will continue, with only France experiencing a larger rise in
champagne consumption, by volume. And it’s not the cheap stuff – Moet,
Veuve Clicquot and Dom Perignon are all popular among Nigeria’s elite.
Carmakers
have taken note. Porsche opened a dealership in Lagos last year, a
short walk away from the Zegna store. For luxury to take full flight
will require the emergence of a middle-class. That said, for some luxury
bosses, a narrow band of super-rich people will do for now.
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